Simulation of tail risk noise and asset price
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Updated
Aug 28, 2024 - Jupyter Notebook
#
tail-risk
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Analyze cryptocurrency return dynamics, volatility, and risk from 2010–2025.
docker ggplot2 r shiny rstudio tidyverse forecast cryptocurrency arima scales volatility garch lubridate tseries drawdown tail-risk qq-plot log-return crash-risk rugarch
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Jan 29, 2026 - HTML
Regime detection using Hidden Markov Models with Swan Beta features to identify tail-risk market states.
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Jan 4, 2026
Predicting the probability of equity market crash events using historical return-based features, with a fixed crash definition and a focus on tail risk. The model is evaluated using the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as a proxy for the S&P 500 Index, with data sourced via the yfinance API.
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Updated
Feb 1, 2026 - Jupyter Notebook
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